The U.S. labor market is like a Magic 8 Ball; shake it, and you get a different answer every time. Is there a war for talent? “Signs point to yes”—especially in healthcare, retail, and food and beverage. Does the market favor employers? “It is decidedly so”—particularly in tech, where most of the big players continue to lay off workers who just recently were in high demand. Is job growth slowing? “Reply hazy, try again”—while January numbers showed a slowdown, unemployment remains historically low, and average hourly earnings continue their upward trajectory. See what, I mean? You could go back and forth like this forever. But let’s not. Instead, let’s zoom out and look at the big picture and notice two things.
First, demographic realities all point to long-term talent scarcity, thanks to a mass exodus of retiring Baby Boomers and declining birth rates worldwide. That means all organizations will, to some extent, compete to recruit, hire, and retain talent.
Second, the way you go about recruiting and hiring can be a competitive advantage. For most businesses, especially ones without unique IP or patented technologies, your talent pipeline is your competitive moat. Sure, competitors can copy your business model, or they can undercut your pricing, but if your company gets good at attracting and retaining high-quality candidates, it’s nearly impossible for competitors to duplicate your people and your company culture. And at the end of the day, your people make all the difference and impact all the metrics that matter, from employee engagement and retention to customer satisfaction and bottom-line revenue.
Think of your talent pipeline like a highway—once you build it, moving smart, ambitious people into your organization becomes smoother and faster. This means fundamentally reimagining three core aspects of talent acquisition: who we consider qualified, how we develop internal talent, and where we deploy human effort versus automation.
Expand the Talent Pool Beyond Traditional Candidates
“I need someone with a bachelor’s degree and five years of experience” has become the reflexive requirement for positions that, in reality, may require neither. Skills-based hiring isn’t just a trendy buzzword—it’s an economic necessity. While some specialized roles will always require formal credentials, many positions benefit more from practical skills and adaptability than from academic pedigree. Forward-thinking companies are creating apprenticeship programs that pair experienced workers with promising new hires or launching “returnship” programs for skilled candidates re-entering the workforce after caregiving breaks. Others are forging partnerships with local trade schools, veterans’ career programs, and community colleges to create talent pipelines that bypass traditional four-year degree requirements entirely. These approaches don’t just expand the candidate pool—they diversify it. When we look beyond conventional qualifications, we discover candidates with valuable perspectives shaped by different life experiences. This diversity of thought drives innovation and problem-solving in ways that a homogeneous workforce simply cannot match. Again, that’s a decisive competitive advantage that delivers benefit to your business far beyond the immediate need to fill an open role.
Develop Your Hidden Talent Mine
The most promising candidates often already work for you. They’re the customer service representative who instinctively spots process improvements, or the operations analyst who consistently finds creative solutions to complex problems. Yet too many companies overlook this internal talent pool, instead spending months and significant resources pursuing external candidates who may never fully acclimate to the organizational culture. Sustainable recruiting starts with identifying and developing these internal rising stars. These employees already understand your business, your customers, and your values—advantages that typically take new hires months or years to acquire. What’s more, internal promotion creates a virtuous cycle: it motivates ambitious employees, preserves institutional knowledge, and significantly reduces onboarding costs. At Paycor, we’ve found that talent development must begin the moment a new hire joins the team. Weekly one-on-ones between managers and their direct reports create continuous feedback loops and open communication channels. This practice has the additional benefit of building psychological safety—when you regularly connect with your manager, “we need to talk” loses its anxiety-inducing sting.
Level Up
Invest in your leaders and you’ll never worry about talent again. In Paycor’s 2024 survey, we found that employees in high-performing companies are 110% more likely to receive productive feedback and 397% more likely to view their leaders as engaged and inspirational than their counterparts in low-performing companies. Nothing motivates people more than a great boss—someone who’s got their back, pushes them to new levels of achievement, who supports and encourages them. Great bosses drive retention—and retention is the ultimate sustainability strategy. To build a sustainable pipeline of leadership talent, develop leaders at every level. Leadership isn’t just for people with “manager” in their title. Your experienced machine operator showing newcomers the ropes, your senior accountant mentoring junior staff—they’re all leaders. Create development paths that recognize and build these informal leadership roles. Help technical experts become technical leaders without losing their hands-on excellence. Develop a deep bench of leadership talent, and you’ll earn an unbeatable competitive advantage for your company.
Final Thoughts
The talent shortage isn’t a temporary disruption; it’s the new normal. But scarcity doesn’t have to mean desperation. By expanding our definition of qualified candidates, investing in internal talent development, and building a deep bench of leadership talent, HR can build sustainable talent pipelines that withstand market volatility and create a decisive competitive advantage. This approach requires both tactical shifts and philosophical ones. It means questioning long-held assumptions about what makes a “good” candidate. It requires genuine commitment to employee development, not just lip service. The Magic 8 Ball labor market will continue to deliver contradictory signals. But with a holistic, forward-thinking approach to talent acquisition, HR leaders can create certainty where none exists, and build organizations that thrive regardless of which way the economic winds blow.
Paaras Parker, CHRO at Paycor, is committed to building on and expanding Paycor’s dynamic culture, recruiting and developing talented people, and giving them an opportunity to succeed. Paaras joined Paycor in 2022 from Kroger, where she most recently served as Head of HR for 84.51°, Kroger’s technology & digital and alternative profit unit. Paaras is a seasoned leader with deep experience in talent acquisition, organizational and leadership development, diversity, equity & inclusion and learning and has held high-level HR roles at Macy’s and Global Novations. Paaras holds a B.S. in Liberal Arts from Miami University.